As 2021 approaches, here are ten trends to watch in the year ahead. Almost 50% of the country reported a drop in income and it is estimated that up to 400 million people could be pushed back into poverty. Will the postponed parliamentary elections reinforce his reforming zeal? Helen Davidson. Looming large is the influence of climate change, which is increasing both the number and severity of natural disasters. Female entrepreneurs have vastly different political priorities than their male counterparts. C. Peter McColough Series on International Economics. Jason Burke. This year will bring a standoff between Vladimir Putin and the opposition leader Alexei Navalny, as the government seeks to keep Navalny out of the country by threatening him with years in prison should he return. What Is the World Doing to Distribute COVID-19 Vaccines? Last year began badly, with Beijing’s attempts to cover up the coronavirus outbreak causing reputational damage which wasn’t fixed by later attempts to rebuild bridges with masks, PPE, and vaccines. February 17, 2021. Hannah Ellis-Petersen. 5G has had many false starts, but 2021 could be the year when it really starts to take a predominant role in the telecoms space. Brazil’s Jair Bolsonaro heads into the third of a four-year term, but as pandemic payouts come to an end, his popularity could take a nosedive. March 25, 2021 Naftali Bennett, a far-right former leader in the Israeli settler movement who has worked in Netanyahu-led governments, heads the Yamina party and seeks to become the next prime minister. Hire me to speak virtually to your leadership and HR teams about the 2021 Workplace Trends … With Brexit done and dusted largely to the EU’s satisfaction, Covid vaccination under way and a more amicable – and predictable – US president in the White House, 2021 should by rights be an easier year for Europe. In dozens of interviews, the Monitor asked psychologists across the spectrum of specialties what they saw as the emerging trends of 2021.. by Jacob Lew, Gary Roughead, Jennifer Hillman and David Sacks Discussions between farmers and Modi’s ruling Bharatiya Janata party (BJP) are in deadlock at present, but they are nonetheless the first time that a civilian backlash has brought the government to the negotiating table. Video Ad. March 30, 2021 Meanwhile, Netanyahu’s former protege, Gideon Saar, broke ranks last month to create the New Hope party. People say they are exhausted by politics on social media, but political content, particularly divisive discourse, continues to generate a lot of engagement for the platforms. Biden must also consider how to rebuild his country’s reputation abroad, after Donald Trump’s aggressive “America First” project saw him retreat from international obligations and attack multilateral institutions such as Nato. Scientists have created several vaccines for a disease that didn’t even have a name this time last year. Events merely reveal – they accelerate or decelerate (but rarely reverse) many political, social, economic and other trends that have already been present and acting upon a society. - Issue Date: Jan 18, 2021 India was the Asian economy worst affected by Covid-19, pushing the country into its first recession. PM Scott Morrison’s call for an investigation into the origins of the coronavirus, whether reasonable or not, further soured relations. President Biden pledges a new approach as pressures mount along the boundary. ... More companies will adopt stances on the societal and political debates of the day. Ten Big Trends in Digital Politics, Activism and Advocacy in 2021 [Part One] 1. Communities and wildlife are still recovering from the wildfires of late 2019 and early 2020 that roared after the country’s hottest and driest year on record. The coronavirus pandemic has killed more than 346,000 Americans. Here are some, about cooking, sales, products, flavors, regulations, e-sales, robotics, and agriculture. Let’s be honest, 2020 hasn’t gone according to plan. Info. By the end of his term Trump had upended decades of policy, taking a hard line against Beijing on trade and diplomatic issues, including bolstering military and political support for Taiwan. 7 Top Demographic Trends: 2021/2022 Economic, Social & Political Shifts 1. With so many people now working remotely and using collaboration and messaging tools or video calls to communicate, we’ve started to see the demise of the traditional phone call. China is successfully using the Belt and Road Initiative to promote the adoption of Huawei 5G, while the United States is looking to reverse these gains. Print. This underscores the need to re-evaluate talent decisions, supply chains, and approaches towards building enterprise resilience. March 1, 2021, China’s Belt and Road: Implications for the United States, Task Force Report Demands for racial equity and justice are more urgent. Andrew Roth, In this scenario, what began as “alternative facts” at the start of the Trump administration could develop into “alternative realities” under Biden, fuelling hyperpartisanship in Washington and rendering the country almost ungovernable.David Smith. Jennifer A. Hillman is a senior fellow for trade and international political economy. The companies see themselves as a force... 2. Another trend likely to continue in 2021 is violent non-state actors’ growing reliance on emerging technologies. Talking about getting back on track, China's performance has injected confidence and hope to the world – it has become the only major economy in the world to achieve positive growth in 2020. After moving quickly to contain coronavirus, China has returned to growth already, and a trade deal with the EU in late December is a reminder of how attractive its economy remains to global investors. Avigdor Lieberman, once a lieutenant of Netanyahu and infamous for his anti-Arab views, is also seeking to dethrone the Israeli leader, known locally as “King Bibi”. In addition, to avoid the worst climate disasters, the nation must cut its greenhouse gas emissions. The shadow of Covid will not begin to lift, even in richer countries, for months. Vaccine nationalism, export controls, restrictions on cross-border people movement and the domestic political consequences of the pandemic will create political risks in markets around the world. But, there are some issues that I think are going to play important, if not staring roles not just in 2021, but in the midterm elections as well. Last modified on Fri 29 Jan 2021 08.53 GMT. In the final days of 2020, Russia’s investigative committee accused the opposition politician of fraud, effectively giving him the choice of remaining in exile or returning to a prison sentence. Copy link. Ties with Beijing, which have deteriorated rapidly under Trump, are also likely to be a particular focus. 1210. The Islamic State , Houthi rebels in Yemen, and the Taliban have demonstrated alacrity and capability to deploy unmanned aerial systems for combat and reconnaissance purposes. But when the immediate threat is over, the world will face other major challenges that in a normal year would have dominated the headlines. Israel is set to hold its fourth general election in the space of two years as a protracted political crisis barrels into 2021. Observer correspondents examine the 12 months ahead, Emma Graham-Harrison, This underscores the need to re-evaluate talent decisions, supply chains, and approaches towards building enterprise resilience. November 2020. March 31, 2021, China's Huawei Is Winning the 5G Race. America is at war with itself on a litany of issues. Social Media: Campaigns, Advocates & Activists. The … The Philippine political system has been so designed that government officials are rewarded through the corrupt practices of bureaucrat capitalism for preserving and promoting the dominance for foreign monopoly capitalism and the exploiting classes and for betraying national sovereignty, auctioning off the national patrimony and for making constitutional amendments and … To manage the worsening toll of climate change, leaders at all levels of government and in the private sector must prepare for extreme weather. by Andrew Parkin January 4, 2021 . Ahead of the annual IMF and World Bank Spring Meetings, please join IMF Managing Director Kristalina Georgieva for a discussion of the economic outlook in the post-pandemic world and the actions needed to drive the recovery. Without clear signs of ambition, Australia risks carrying a reputation as a fossil-fuel exporter and international climate change pariah to the Glasgow climate talks. President Trump sent U.S. troops to the border with Mexico to supplement the work of authorities there. All rights reserved. As we start 2021, we see both the best and worst of humanity in how people are responding to the pandemic, economic challenges, racial injustice, climate-related disasters and political divisions. Oliver Holmes. From the very first weeks, 2021 in Africa is going to be a year of intense politics and noisy protests as new voices of the young and dissatisfied across the continent fight to be heard, new leaders seek to assert themselves and older ones try to hang on to power. Tags. But among Biden’s challenges is to win over those fearful that the vaccine is unsafe, as well as conspiracy theorists determined to sow distrust in it. 2: More companies will adopt a stance on societal and political issues. CFR experts illustrate the trends to track in the coming years. Venezuela’s authoritarian leader, Nicolás Maduro, has resisted that two-year crusade and Biden is certain to seek new, less confrontational solutions for what advisers reportedly consider his main diplomatic challenge in the western hemisphere. I believe that 2021 will be the year when the three over-arching trends in product development discussed above—designing for repair, recycling, and longevity—will decisively come to the fore as primary factors for decision-making among manufacturers. However, his reputation could take a further dent in February, when witnesses are due to give testimony in his corruption trial. In November, world leaders are due to meet in Glasgow for a key summit. POLITICAL RISKS IN 2021 Export controls, vaccine nationalism, domestic political consequences and restrictions on cross-border people movement will generate political risks in markets worldwide. Biden recently warned that the “darkest days” in the battle against the pandemic “are ahead of us, not behind us”. U.S. biggest ever cyber-attack on the US government, Brussels’s attempts to tie the EU budget to respect for the rule of law, dozens already dead after police shot opposition supporters, faces three separate cases, which include accusations of bribery and fraud, Brazil’s dire response to the Covid-19 epidemic. Inflation fell to 3.3% in 2020, but is expected to rise to 3.9% in 2021 and increase to 4.3% in 2022, according to the IMF's latest World Economic Outlook (October 2020). Subscribe now to receive your digital copy of the reports as soon as they are live. 2020 was a year full of surprises. This year the same tactics may finally fail to silence vocal opposition groups – or may usher in a new period of repression. Turning finally to politics, the Republican candidate won the state of Florida through a combination of strong margins in Republican counties (61% compared with 56% in Democratic counties) and less severe losses in Democratic counties (43% compared with 38%). Military and Political Trends of 2020 that will shape 2021. Biden promises to remain tough on China, albeit without the unpredictable and publicly hostile diplomacy of Trump, but there is no sense of China backing down, even in the face of sanctions and international opprobrium. This work is licensed under Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives 4.0 International (CC BY-NC-ND 4.0) License. Culture-shaping cases will roll on, including a reckoning with China’s #MeToo movement, and the reining in of Alibaba’s Jack Ma, who dared to become powerful outside the party system. Jason Burke, Net Politics. Shopping. Please note that the meeting will begin with a prerecorded address by the IMF Managing Director, followed by live conversation. The most generous accounting of federal spending on public health preparedness indicates the United States put in just under $100 billion over the last decade, with only a fraction going specifically to emerging infectious diseases. No. Betsey Stevenson, professor of public policy and economics at University of Michigan, leads a conversation on the new U.S. stimulus bill and how it will shape U.S. economic competitiveness. The first half of Trump's term has generated unprecedented turmoil, turnover and chaos in the West Wing. ReddIt. Investigative reports from Proekt, a new online outlet, suggested that Putin had a secret child with a lover and had been secretly working from Sochi in a room built to resemble his Moscow office. Employees’ desire to work for... 3. Politics. While wildfires scorched millions of acres in the west, so many powerful storms battered the Gulf and Atlantic coastlines that meteorologists had to turn to the Greek alphabet to name them. Temperatures are rising more quickly in these regions than elsewhere on Earth and the potential for tragedy is clear. 19 Higher Education Trends for 2021/2022: Latest Forecasts To Watch Out For A diploma isn’t just a piece of paper that signifies the end of a student’s journey. Social Media and Society. With India’s main opposition party, Indian National Congress, perceived as weak, rudderless, and divided by infighting, there remains little to get in the way of Modi’s Hindu nationalist agenda permanently reshaping India. Further afield, there has been no resolution of diplomatic and trade disputes with Australia, the UK, Canada, and the US. … The Water's Edge, by Steven A. Cook However, countries’ continued access to the life-saving medicines and vaccines needed to combat this virus will depend on the steady operation of global supply chains. The climate crisis and Covid response will affect all nations – while others face very particular challenges. While a new US administration offers the prospect of renewed negotiations, few predict a significant change in the status quo. Only a year after the new coronavirus emerged, the first vaccines to protect against it are being administered. There's no reason to think that changes now. America is divided, its fragile democracy in need of repair. You don't have to spend money to follow 2021 best fashion trends. Another outlet, iStories, claimed Putin’s former son-in-law had bought shares worth $380m for just $100 shortly after he married Putin’s daughter. Alice C. Hill is the David M. Rubenstein senior fellow for energy and the environment. Twitter. When it comes to analyzing legal industry trends for 2021, we turned to one of the greatest legal minds in Arizona. For the Opposition, it may be the last chance to get their act together to stop the Modi juggernaut. As the next generation of leaders vies for authority, entrenched interests will attempt to assimilate them into existing power structures; a failure to bring them into the fold could heighten political tensions in the next few years. Jennifer Nuzzo is a senior fellow for global health. It’s not an exhaustive list, but is a good place to start. The Grand Rapids, Mich.-based Dorothy A. Johnson Center for Philanthropy at Grand Valley State University issued its most recent report, 11 Trends in Philanthropy for 2021 . Joe Biden faces the most daunting, overflowing inbox of any new US president since the second world war when he takes office on 20 January. In the same year, shipping through Russia’s Northern Sea Route, which knocks weeks off travel from northern Europe to Asia, hit record levels because of the lack of ice. Emma Graham-Harrison. Biden is expected to seek a less confrontational approach. Global investors are also saying no to the climate-warming fossil fuel. However, the greatest immediate looming disaster for India this year is likely to be an economic one. Polls show Bolsonaro still enjoys the approval of about 37% of the electorate – widely attributed to emergency coronavirus payments to tens of millions of citizens. Africa Africa in 2021: Will political crises persist? But those payments cease in January, with many observers convinced that severe economic, political and social turbulence lies ahead, as public anger swells. Female CEOs care most about the treatment of women in society and healthcare, which are fourth and sixth for men. In the short term, the historic exodus of impoverished Venezuelan citizens – which has already robbed the South American country of more than 5 million people – will continue, as the coronavirus crisis pushes Venezuela deeper into hunger and deprivation. The divide between many western member states and the governments of Poland and Hungary continues to widen, with 2020’s row over Brussels’s attempts to tie the EU budget to respect for the rule of law laying bare deep-seated cultural differences on core European issues such as immigration and liberal values. But there is still resentment in many countries over China’s handling of the earliest days of the pandemic and an apparent reluctance to allow an independent international investigation into the origins of Covid-19. There is wide agreement that psychology holds the answers to many difficult issues we will face, including how to support employees struggling with burnout and work-life balance, garner acceptance of a safe COVID-19 vaccine, and educate students in … Will Australia be burning again – literally or figuratively – as its diplomats head to Glasgow?Graham Readfearn, Your support powers our independent journalism, Available for everyone, funded by readers. For many of us, it’s been a troubled time of great uncertainty which we’d rather forget. As governments rushed to respond to the coronavirus pandemic in 2020, their attention quickly turned to the more than $2 trillion in annual trade in medical goods­­. Social Media: Campaigns, Advocates & Activists. Jon Henley. Tom Phillips. The coming year will tell us. Politics and Global Politics. After decades of sustained land operations, the U.S. Marine Corps is looking back out to sea, embracing its roots as a naval expeditionary force. The effects of global climate change wreaked havoc on Russia’s Siberian and Arctic regions last year, as rising temperatures sparked forest fires, caused crop failures, and even played a role in the largest diesel spill in Arctic history. Venezuela’s humanitarian and economic crisis will also enter a new chapter in 2021, as Joe Biden enters the White House and turns away from Trump’s “maximum pressure” campaign. The rebuilding of economies shattered by Covid everywhere will be slow; even countries that managed to contain it have taken a hit, from Vietnam to New Zealand. by Claire Felter Second, each trend has moved beyond pilots and experiments and has begun to penetrate into the heart of government. The Netherlands, an increasingly influential EU player particularly following the UK’s departure, also has parliamentary elections in 2021. With a raging pandemic, disrupted supply chains, climate change, political instabilities, and a growing scarcity of raw materials, 2021 will no doubt present a number of serious challenges to the global manufacturing industry. 1. Sea ice failed to re-form until late in the year in the Laptev Sea, where scientists believe that frozen methane deposits are being released that could speed further warming. Dec 28, 2020 - Politics & Policy Five trends that will shape America in 2021. All were forced to confront the extent to which they are dependent on global supply chains for personal protective equipment (PPE), medicines, and other essential materials. President-elect Biden will spend 2021 trying to return America to what he considers a more normal time, while President Trump tries to lock down control of the GOP — all at a time when misinformation and alternate narratives get even worse. Wildfires and extreme weather have focused attention on the costs of a warming world, and the narrowing window to cut emissions and prevent catastrophic global heating. The far-right renegade has so far managed to dodge responsibility for Brazil’s dire response to the Covid-19 epidemic, which has killed more than 195,000 Brazilians, while also shaking off a succession of scandals involving his family. by Amelia Cheatham, Claire Felter and Zachary Laub Backgrounder by James M. Lindsay President-elect Biden will spend 2021 trying to return America to what he considers a more normal time, while President Trump tries to lock down control of the GOP — all at a time when misinformation and alternate narratives get even worse. Andrew Roth. Millennials, or those who are aged 23 to 38 as of 2019, are currently numbered... 2. Tensions have become ever tighter as Australia blocked several Chinese business dealings and angered Beijing with a new defence pact with Japan. Later this month, a presidential election in Uganda will pit a 76-year-old veteran politician against a 38-year-old former reggae singer. December 29, 2020 His ability to influence this and other issues will be determined in no small part by special elections for Georgia’s two Senate seats on 5 January. The Islamic State , Houthi rebels in Yemen, and the Taliban have demonstrated alacrity and capability to deploy unmanned aerial systems for combat and reconnaissance purposes. And with a more integrated European foreign policy – despite much talk of “strategic European autonomy” – still some way off, the geopolitical rivalry between the US and China will force Europe to tread a delicate path between principle and self-interest. A dozen who were caught attempting to flee went on trial last month. Turmoil in the West Wing. In both countries, the Eurosceptic far right – effectively sidelined by the coronavirus pandemic for much of 2020 – could play a significant role as economic crisis replaces health crisis. Visualizing 2021: Trends to Watch. Britain was the first to approve a vaccine and has secured extensive supplies, yet Boris Johnson’s suggestion that life might be returning to normal by Easter is widely seen as optimistic. And CEOs will respond. fashion runway trends spring2021 newyears. Oliver Holmes, David Smith, Control of the Senate hinges on the results. While it accounts for just 4 percent of the global population, it has more than 20 percent of all cases. Greener growth is a priority for new US president Joe Biden, once he has met his first campaign promise to defeat Covid. WhatsApp. About 40% of Australia’s foreign trade is with China. Jon Henley, Linkedin. Article Jennifer Nuzzo. Despite repeated attempts, parliamentarians have been unable to form stable governments, in large part due to the loathing, distrust, but also glorification of one man: Benjamin Netanyahu. This meeting series is presented by the Maurice R. Greenberg Center for Geoeconomic Studies. The Middle-East in 2021: 4 Important Trends in Regional Geopolitics With Morocco’s diplomacy dominating the headlines it is easy to overlook regional issues As a key part of the Middle East … Public debt also significantly increased, reaching 48.9% of GDP in 2020 and is expected to further increase in 2021 and 2022, to 52.5% and 55%, respectively. Many analysts saw 2020 as a year when democracy suffered, with incumbents in countries from Tanzania to Guinea using a mixture of the security services, populist sloganeering and new laws to muzzle dissent. In 2021, employer support for the entire employee life experience will become table stakes in employee benefits. 9 Trends That Will Shape Work in 2021 and Beyond 1. From Amazon to American Express to Marriott International, the list of companies rethinking their approach this year continues to grow. Employees increasingly want to work for organizations where the cultural values align with their own. Despite repeated attempts, parliamentarians have … December 28, 2020 Employees increasingly want to work for organizations where the cultural values align with their own. Our relationship with social media? Complicated. State and Local Conference Calls and Webinars, C. Peter McColough Series on International Economics, Energy Security and Climate Change Program. Conversely, male CEOs care more about the economy, taxes and foreign affairs. April 2, 2021 And the good news is – we can! Email. We have all experienced some lousy years, but this one has upended our lives and tested us in ways we would never have imagined a year ago. Tap to unmute. As we start 2021, we see both the best and worst of humanity in how people are responding to the pandemic, economic challenges, racial injustice, climate-related disasters and political divisions. In 2021, Australia will have China and the climate crisis on its mind. Neither Germany’s AfD or Geert Wilders’s Party for Freedom look likely to end up in government – but they could well sway the policies of more mainstream rivals seeking to capture far-right votes, potentially influencing future dynamics in Brussels. PHOTO: Thought Catalog . In 2021, investors are looking for markets with political and economic stability, openness to trade and investment, access to the world’s wealthiest markets and the talent and innovation to deliver world-class results. Africa’s leadership is not reflective of African society at large: the world’s youngest region is led by some of the world’s oldest officials.